TRUMP Ahead in WISCONSIN
Wisconsin voters favored Joe Biden over Donald Trump by 9 percentage points four years ago. A Fox News study released days after the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee indicates Wisconsinites like Trump over Vice President Kamala Harris by 1 point.
Trump has 50 percent support, Harris 49 percent. Biden and Trump deadlocked in April (48 percent each) and January (47 percent each). Biden had 49 percent to Trump’s 40 percent in June 2020.
Trump leads men by 14 points, up from 8 points over Biden in April. White men without college degrees (by 20 points), rural voters (+15), and White voters (+2) prefer him to Harris.
Harris leads Republicans (93 percent), but Independents give him a 4-point edge. Conservative group criticizes Harris’ transition from tough-on-crime prosecutor to social justice advocate.
Harris’s best demographics include urban voters (+19 over Trump), college-educated Whites (+18), and suburban women (+13). She had slightly higher numbers than Biden in April among Whites without a college degree (+5), Independents (+5), voters under 35 (+4), women (+3), Democrats (+1), Whites (+1), and those 65 and older (-1).
Most change is among “double haters” (voters who dislike Trump and Biden). They now favor Harris by 25 points over Trump, who led by 1 in April.
Former US President Donald Trump holds a campaign event at Trump National Doral Golf Club in Miami, Florida, on July 9, 2024.
New voters (who haven’t voted in four general elections) like Trump by 3 points, while union households favor him by 2 points, unlike in other northern industrial states. Union voters prefer Harris by 6 points in Michigan and 15 in Minnesota.
Biden’s favorable rating dropped 10 points in April and is now down 12. Trump dropped from 10 points down to -5 in the current survey. Harris is more popular than both at 49 percent positive and 49 percent negative. 15 percent cannot rate JD Vance, who has a 7-point negative favorability.
President Trump returns to Pennsylvania for the first time after the assassination attempt.
Six months ago, 11 percent of Wisconsin voters said they were financially better off. Now 15 percent do. Most feel stable (41 percent), or going behind (43 percent).
The economy will decide this fall. It’s 37 percent top priority, followed by abortion and immigration at 15 percent each. All other issues are single-digit.
