According to the reports, Officials in Ukraine feel that Russia is more likely to undertake a destabilization campaign than to invade the whole nation on a massive scale. “Russia’s top priority is to destabilize them from inside,” stated national security adviser Oleksiy Danilov.
Given the strength of the Ukrainian army and the Ukrainian people’s willingness to fight, Russian Defense Minister Oleksiy Danilov has stated that a military invasion of Ukraine is not a good option. Instead, he predicts Russia will unleash a barrage of cyberattacks, disinformation efforts, and economic pressure on the Ukrainian people to sow unrest. He remarked, “They have a comprehensive plot to disrupt the domestic situation on their country’s soil.”
Moreover, the Russian leadership continues to deny that they are trying to invade or hurt Ukraine. They said that Western countries are neglecting their security concerns by incorporating Russia’s neighbors into NATO and the European Union. Russian officials see these developing coalitions as a direct threat to their sovereignty. “They didn’t see a satisfactory answer to their fundamental issues,” Putin stated in early February.
Russia’s destabilization attempts in Ukraine have shown mixed outcomes in recent years. In Ukraine’s eastern areas, the Kremlin contacted and supported Russian nationalist Ukrainian separatists. It employs these proxies to sabotage the Ukrainian military’s everyday operations and to wreak havoc on the region’s residents. This policy resembles Russia’s anti-Georgian stance before the 2008 Russo-Georgian War.
Therefore Western countries are diminishing their presence in Ukraine and pushing residents to flee. The US State Department attempts to direct Americans to Poland to be safe from any potential bloodshed. Despite the Ukrainian government’s suspicion about Russia’s intentions, the western countries are reducing their presence in the country.