In every issue and characteristic, Joe Biden is drinking swamp water, according to the Quinnipiac poll. The Democrat-leaning survey was issued earlier this week.
When Americans were questioned about Biden’s handling of the financial crisis, he got unfavorable scores in the double digits on all but one crucial subject. The coronavirus has a 48 percent approval rating and a 50 percent disapproval rating. Thirty-seven percent approve of his position as Commander in Chief of the United States military, while 58 percent disapprove. Relationships with the American people: 49% say yes, 48% say no, and 58-37 percent yes in April. More than half of Americans believe the Biden administration is unfit to lead the country.
Joe Biden is polling poorly with males, women, Whites, and Hispanics of all ages. With college-educated White voters, he holds a slim 4-point lead. When comparing the “highly approve/disapprove” scale, he is 10 points behind. There is no good news for Biden in that survey, and future polls will only worsen.
The influence of redistricting on the 2022 election is more interesting to consider. Through redistricting, the GOP will gain at least three seats and might earn more than a dozen.
Respondents to a Quinnipiac University survey were asked who they would want to govern Congress. 47 percent want the Republican Party to win power, 44 percent want the Democratic Party to win control, and 9 percent are undecided. According to pollster John D. Malloy, the survey might indicate a “potentially worrisome trend” for Democrats.
Despite this, the Republican Party picked up 11 seats in the 2020 election. To put this in context, the Democrats had a six-point RCP Average advantage in the generic ballot at this stage in 2020. That lead was 6.8 points on election day (RCP Average).
According to Gallup, the Democrats enjoyed a 9-point edge at this stage of the election cycle in 2010, the year of the Tea Party. The final RCP Average showed a 9.4-point GOP advantage and a 63-seat win for the GOP. It is where we are in the 2014 election cycle. In a Quinnipiac survey, Democrats lead the generic ballot by 9 points. The GOP gained 13 seats in the House as a result of this.
The GOP has a 3-point edge on the generic ballot, resulting in approximately 20 House seats when redistricting is taken into account. A drop of a dozen points in four months may foreshadow a complete collapse by election day. The Quinnipiac poll gave Democrats a 9-point advantage in May, but the GOP currently has a one-point edge.