Historically, midterm elections have been bad for the president’s party because they are seen as a referendum on his first two years in office, and some in the majority don’t like the idea of being in the minority. In the 2002 midterm elections, a little over a year after the 9/11 terrorist attacks, President George W. Bush’s Republican party gained seats in the House and Senate.
While the number of Democrats abandoning Joe Biden as the 2022 midterm elections approach must be a bitter pill for him, he misrepresented himself during his 2020 presidential campaign as an editor in chief capable of bringing both sides together in Congress and uniting the country. By the end of 2021, there were 25 retirees. But earlier today, Colorado Democrat Ed Perlmutter announced he would not seek re-election, citing “time to move on” and “explore other opportunities.”
Because of recent redistricting by an independent commission, Perlmutter’s district is now ranked D+6 by FiveThirtyEight, making it slightly more competitive. Republicans announced in November that they would target the district in 2022. In November, the National Republican Congressional Committee said it was targeting Perlmutter’s district as one of those to flip in the 2022 midterm elections to retake the House. Perlmutter “knew he was going to lose,” according to Colorado GOP Chair Kristi Burton Brown.
However, despite their whining about how Republicans could only win through redistricting, it appears that over two dozen Democratic retirements over the last several months (and more likely) have hurt Joe Biden’s party more than Biden. Given voter concerns about the US economy, such as rising inflation and a bleak job/employment outlook, it’s not surprising that some House Democrats have decided to leave while they can. I can’t blame them.